As Trade Wars Shift $488 Billion in Exports, The Observatory of Economic Complexity Launches Advanced Tariff Simulator V3
New "Report Mode" and advanced simulation capabilities help businesses and governments navigate the most volatile trade environment in decades.
CAMBRIDGE, MA — June 9, 2025 — With recent data indicating a staggering $488 billion decrease in Chinese exports to the U.S. due to escalating tariffs, the global supply chain is undergoing a historic realignment. To help organizations navigate this chaos, Datawheel is proud to announce the release of Version 3 of the OEC Tariff Simulator, the most comprehensive tool available for modeling trade policy impacts.
Originally launched to track trade tensions, the OEC Tariff Simulator has evolved into a predictive intelligence engine. The latest release (V3) introduces automated strategic reporting, allowing users to move beyond simple data viewing to generating shareable, boardroom-ready strategy documents in seconds.
Navigating a half-trillion-dollar shift
The volatility reported by major financial outlets highlighting massive drops in bilateral trade, confirms that static data is no longer sufficient. Companies today need to simulate "what-if" scenarios to survive.
“The headlines regarding the $488 billion drop in exports are just the surface; the real story is where that trade is moving,” said Alex Simoes, Co-Founder of Datawheel. “We built the Tariff Simulator V3 because users from government trade ministries to Fortune 500 logistics directors stopped asking ‘what happened?’ and started asking ‘what happens next?’ This tool gives them that answer.”
Evolution of the Simulator The new V3 builds upon the robust foundation of its predecessors:
From V1: Established the ability to simulate direct, indirect, and induced impacts of tariff changes on specific HS codes.
From V2: Introduced granular country-level data and deeper customization for supply chain professionals.
New in V3 (The Strategy Engine): The new Automated Report Generator instantly compiles simulation results into comprehensive PDF reports. It identifies "Winners and Losers," calculates total tax burdens, and highlights alternative supplier markets to mitigate risk.
Key Features of the OEC Tariff Simulator V3:
Scenario Planning: Users can adjust tariff rates on any product or country to model hypothetical trade wars before they happen.
Diversification Insights: Automatically identify which countries stand to gain market share when punitive tariffs are applied to major players like China.
Instant Reporting: With one click, generate a professional analysis of how specific policies will impact national GDP, import costs, and consumer prices.
Availability The OEC Tariff Simulator V3 is available immediately to OEC Pro subscribers. Users can access the tool and generate their first report at https://oec.world/en/tariff-simulator-report .
About the OEC
The Observatory of Economic Complexity (OEC) is the world's leading data visualization platform for international trade data. Created by Datawheel, the OEC distributes more than 20 years of trade data, serving millions of users who rely on its tools to understand the dynamics of the global economy.
Media Contact
David Anabalón | Marketing Lead
david@datawheel.us
